So Let's Face It, We Can Figure Out Who's in the Coffin

After the Season 3 finale, my official "Who's in the Coffin" prediction was Michael. I'm happy to say that he's still in the running...but barely, and only because it's technically still possible that he made it back home and is incognito. We all know who it really is. Here are the current odds as I see them:

Ben: 85%
Locke: 9.99%
Michael: 5%
Someone Else: .01%

The many reasons:

-We know for sure he's off the island.

-Nobody would go to his funeral - the Oceanic Six all hate him, his working arrangement with Sayid will certainly end badly, and no one else knows he exists.

-Jack's attendance at the funeral correlates nicely with his newfound faith in the island. He's the only one to go, and the reason he went, we clearly see, is because he misses his time on the island so much, fully buys into its mythology now, and wants to go back. That correlation makes it almost absurd for it to be anyone besides Ben or Locke, and...

-It's not Locke because if Sawyer chose to stay, why on Earth would Locke go home? There's also no conceivable reason why anyone would want him to go home, or force him to go home.

-Ben's death would make dramatic sense by tightening the stakes because...

our heroes (and we) wouldn't be able to get answers from him anymore, and

Widmore would be the specific enemy and our heroes would have less ammunition against him

-And finally, it's not Michael, because why would they bring him back for just a couple of episodes, credit him for the entire season, only to kill him off with two more years to go?

Agree or disagree? Will I have to admit blatant wrongness at the end of the month?

TAGS: Ben, Coffin, Locke, Michael
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